Unraveling the inaccuracies in NCDC data

On April 11, at exactly 9:30pm, the Nigeria Centre for Disease  Control (NCDC) announced a total of 318 cases of covid-19 in Nigeria through its website and verified social media accounts with this analysis: 70 Discharged, 10 Deaths and 238 Active Cases.

However, a further look at the data released by the NCDC shows that the number of discharged patients are under-reported, which, without much ado, renders the number released for active cases inaccurate.

In Osun, 10 patients were discharged around 2pm on April 11 from the State Isolation Centre situated at Ejigbo, a densely populated town in the Western Senatorial District of the State of Living Spring, making it a total of 11 recovered patients thus far but NCDC recorded one discharged for the state.

In Oyo, Governor Seyi Makinde announced on Saturday April 11 that seven patients, including himself, had already recovered and discharged in the state but NCDC recorded four discharged for the state.

The Commissioner for Health in Bauchi, Dr. Aliyu Maigoro announced on Thursday April 9 that the state only had four cases thus far with two recoveries, including the state governor, Senator Bala Mohammed but NCDC initially recorded eight cases for the state but has reduced the figure to six following complaints from the state government. However, the NCDC on April 11 recorded zero discharged for Bauchi state with six cases instead of four.

Ekiti has recorded two cases and all the two patients have recovered and have been discharged but NCDC recorded one discharged for the state.

The accurate figure of discharged patients as at 10:30pm April 11, from records of State Isolation Centres across Nigeria shows that the county has recorded 86 discharged patients contrary to 70 reported by the NCDC.

The figure is as follows: Lagos, 50 discharged; FCT, 11 discharged; Oyo, seven discharged; Osun, 11 discharged; Ogun, two discharged; Ekiti, two discharged; Rivers, one discharged and Bauchi: two discharged. These give a total figure of 86

I observed that the NCDC data analysts only pay attention to reports from Lagos and Abuja being the epicenters of the pandemic in Nigeria. I equally discovered that all data released from Abuja and Lagos respectively were accurate while most reports recorded for other states are inaccurate.

While I salute the NCDC for a job well-done thus far, I urge the agency to look into the discrepancies in the information being released to the general public in the interest of global world who rely solely on their data for strategic planning.

Maxwell Adeyemi Adeleye

maxwelladeleye@gmail.com

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