It was in pursuant of this mandate that the authority vested in NERC that the commission established a methodology for regulating electricity prices called the Multi-Year Tariff Order.
The MYTO provides a 15-year tariff path for the Nigerian Electricity Industry with minor reviews each year to reflect changes in a limited number of parameters, such as inflation and gas prices.
The MYTO made provision for major reviews every 5 years, when all inputs are reviewed with stakeholders.
The current MYTO, the first, came into effect November 2013. High level power sector sources agreed that in this first five years under the MYTO, NERC had not implemented the cost reflective tariff as envisaged under the arrangement.
Said an investment analyst: “it is unfortunate that five years is coming to a close with NERC yet to implement the key clauses of the five years performance agreement the federal government signed with the DISCOs.”
The three key areas which have been ignored are the cost reflective tariff, a clean debt free book which DISCOs were supposed to inherit and the N100billion annual subvention for two years to bridge the gap between what consumers pay and the actual cost of electricity.
Up till this time, DISCOs are still been forced to sell their product at an average retail price of ₦32 per kilowatt hour, for a product that should sell for more than an average retail price of ₦80 per kilowatt hour.
The implication of this gross underfunding and other fall-outs such as interest charges, electricity marketing stabilization fund, historical debts etc is that as at now the total shortfall in the sector is to the tune of ₦1.35trillion and still growing.
The current situation is unsustainable. The government needs to come in decisively through NERC by resetting the market and starting afresh.
It is obvious that the government has not fulfilled its own side of the bargain, so it is futile and of no use blaming the DISCOs.
The only way the distribution end of the value chain can work as envisaged, and by extension, ensure that all other members of the value chain operate effectively and efficiently is for the government to start afresh with the DISCOs, clean the debt books and commence the implementation of the cost reflective tariff as enunciated in the MYTO,” a key power sector investor stated.
The way out and solution to the power sector underfunding and the DISCOs current handicap, according to the Ministry of Power, Works and Housing top official who pleaded for anonymity is the immediate commencement of the implementation of the Power Sector Recovery Program, PSRP as this is the only panacea to tackling the crisis in the power sector.
The PSRP envisions that the market shortfall will be addressed through:An annual federal government budget that will include provisions for fully funding historical and future sector deficit from 2017-2021;
Establishment of cost reflective tariffs across the board over the next five years and sooner a bilateral willing buyer/willing seller for premium customers; A payment assurance facility to be established by the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, to support NBET, and other such funding initiatives by the World Bank Group on the one hand, and IFC and MIGA, on the other, up to US$2.5billion and US$2.7billion respectively.
From all indications, it is not in doubt that the 11 electricity distribution companies that invested about ₦11 trillion to buy the Power Holding Company of Nigeria, PHCN, distribution assets in 2013 are today in deep crisis owing to acute shortage of funds to invest in infrastructure and expand their operation.
Providing prepaid meters for millions of customers has become a big headache and the entire value chain is crippled by poor funding.
Energy experts opine that the way forward is to reset the market through cost reflective tariff and not bringing in new investors.
“Contemplating bringing in new set of investors now is a wrong-headed approach. In any case, no investor will be willing to commit funds to a business where he cannot charge a cost reflective pricing.
The problem is not with the DISCOs investors per se, even though one is suggesting that they are saints. The problem, however, is with the government and its refusal to live up to its billings.
Let the government start afresh, inject funds, allow cost reflective tariff and play by the rules, you will see how investors will be competing to have a foothold in the sector within the first year. It is the only way to go,” said an investment analyst.