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EXPLAINER: 8 facts about the NNPCL-AFREXIM $3bn loan

1. What is the $3 billion loan about?

The $3 billion crude oil repayment loan from AFREXIM Bank is not a crude-for-refined products swap but an upfront cash loan against proceeds from a limited amount of future crude oil production.

2. Is this loan risky for NNPC Ltd. or the Nigerian Treasury?

The exposure or risk for NNPC Ltd. is very limited, covering just a fraction of their entitlements. Additionally, there are no sovereign guarantees tied to this loan.

3. What’s the benefit of this loan to Nigeria?
The loan will assist NNPC Ltd. in settling taxes and royalties in advance. It will also equip the Federal Government with the necessary dollar liquidity to stabilise the Naira with limited risk.

4. How will the loan be disbursed?
The funds will be released in stages or tranches based on the specific needs and requirements of the Federal Government.

5. Will this affect fuel prices?
A strengthened Naira as a result of this initiative will lead to a reduction in fuel costs. This means if the Naira appreciates, the fuel cost will drop, and further increases will be halted.

6. What about subsidies? Are they coming back?
A stronger Naira will result in lower prices from the current level, making subsidies unnecessary. The deregulation policy remains unchanged.

7. How will the loan be repaid?
The loan will be repaid against a fraction of proceeds from future crude oil production. It’s a strategic move that balances our current economic needs and future production capabilities.

8. What is the difference between this and previous swap deals?
This is not crude for refined products agreement where the government does not earn any proceeds from the swap.

9. Will the loan affect fuel Prices?
A strengthened naira will reduce fuel costs. If the loan is used to defend the naira, it will appreciate more for fuel costs to drop.

This breakdown was provided by NNPCLimited and O’tega Ogra, Senior Special Assistant to the President, Bola Tinubu, on Digital /New Media.

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Ifeoluwa Akinola

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