NiMet, CASP release rainfall prediction for 104 local governments

The Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) in collaboration with the Climate Change Adaptation and Agribusiness Support Programme (CASP) has downscaled the 2020 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction in the CASP 727 Village Areas, 104 Local Government Areas of the 7 CASP participating States of Borno, Jigawa, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, Yobe and Zamfara.

Due to the COVID–19 Pandemic lockdown and various restrictions, the Programme Support Office of the Project worked out arrangements with NiMet to disseminate the SRPs virtually using the Skype–Zoom meeting electronic platforms where various stakeholders connected and the presentations were made.

In his remarks, the National Programme Coordinator, Alhaji Muhammad Lawal Idah said CASP has entered into a partnership with NiMet for the purposes of providing important climate and weather information to farmers and stakeholders who are dependent on annual rainfall for productivity and livelihood.

The National Programme Coordinator stated that the aim of the collaboration was to provide timely climate information guidance on early warning for rainfall onset and, cessation dates, dry spell periods for farmers to plan farming activities very well, increase productivity and avert losses. Also, the collaboration enables preparation of the year’s crop calendar for the programme’s value chain crops.

He said the FGN–CASP is promoting agriculture as a business and integrating climate change resilience adaptation measures for food security and enhanced income.

The Director-General of NiMet, Professor Sani Mashi represented by the Director, Applied Meteorological Services, Engr Yusuf Mailadi, restated the commitment of NiMet in providing scientific information on timely climate and weather information/advisory services to boost and support climate resilience for agricultural production in Nigeria.

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The released 2020 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction (SRP) for Nigeria by NiMet, shows that there is going to be near-normal to earlier than the normal onset of the growing season in most parts of the country this year. The earliest rainfall onset latest date for some of the CASP States is around 22nd June 2020. The severe dry spell may last 10 to 18 days in the CASP States.

It also predicts that the earliest cessation date of 26th September 2020 is expected around Katsina and the northern part of Sokoto.
Below is a detailed account of the predictions for the seven CASP States.

According to the prediction, in Borno “the growing season is predicted to end between 18th September in the northern part of the state (Abadam, Mobbar, Guzamala, Gubio, Nganzai, Marte and Ngala) to Mid October (Damboa, Gwoza, Chibok, Askira-Uba) with Shani having the latest cessation of 3rd November 2020.

In Jigawa, “the growing season is predicted to end between late September to late October with areas around Birniwa and Yankwashi having their earliest cessation date of 26th September while, the growing season is predicted to end later in Burji, Birnin Kudu and Gwaram on 17th of October.

The prediction said in Katsina, “the growing season is predicted to end between the third day of September in the northern part of the state (Mai’adua, Kaita, Jibia, Mashi,
Daura) to late October (Funtua, Dandume, Danja and Sabuwa) with Sabuwa having the latest cessation of 29th October while the growing season is predicted to end earliest in Katsina and Zango on 23rd of September.

Other states included in the rainfall prediction are Kebbi, Sokoto, Yobe and Zamfara.


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